WSL Extremes Research Program: Building Resilience for an Uncertain Future

Driven by globalization and climate change, extreme events are becoming more frequent and severe. While some impacts can be anticipated, many consequences for the environment and society remain unclear. How can we prepare for events for which we have no precedent? This is the challenge the WSL Extremes Research Program aims to meet.

Switzerland has already experienced the dramatic impacts of single or interacting drivers of climate change in recent years; the drought and heatwave of summer 2018 was one of the most severe in decades, with significant consequences for agriculture, water supply, energy production, and natural ecosystems. As climate change continues to exert its effects, extreme events such as drought, heatwaves, storms, and flooding are likely to become part of our new normal.

These extreme events pose a unique problem for stakeholders and decision makers, since such conditions are unprecedented and there is therefore no experience on which to draw. In the face of this uncertainty, science is called upon to provide the knowledge and resources needed to meet the unpredictable challenges ahead.

Thinking the Unthinkable

The WSL Extremes Research Program, which runs until the end of 2025, focuses on those rare and irregular events that can have a substantial impact on the environment and society. Traditional linear extrapolations of known drivers often fail to capture the complex mechanisms behind extreme events. Our approach focuses on understanding abrupt, compounded, or interacting changes in drivers, which frequently lead to non-linear and tipping-point behaviors. By thinking beyond the bounds of what has been experienced thus far – by reaching towards the unthinkable – we aim to help Switzerland prepare for extreme events with significant consequences.

The complexity of addressing extreme events requires a collective effort. The Extremes program’s five projects bring together scientists and stakeholders from various disciplines and sectors. Through this inter- and transdisciplinary collaboration, we are working to develop innovative tools, robust strategies, and concrete solutions to enhance Switzerland’s resilience in the face of future extremes.


Extremes Projects: Tackling Future Challenges


WebApp EXtremes: What Will Switzerland’s Climate Look Like in Future?

Climate scenarios show how the climate could develop on average. However, the average rarely reflects reality. It is the extreme events - significantly above or below this average - that have unforeseeable and sometimes irreversible consequences for the environment and society.

What does this mean for Switzerland, its mountains, forests, and agriculture? And for you?

It's complicated and it depends: What does extreme mean?

This website (in German) provides an insight into the effects of various climate scenarios for the next 20 years: how global warming is already noticeable today in exceptional cases, how it is predicted on average, and how it could manifest itself under extreme circumstances.

Find out for yourself how extreme things could be!


Join the Discussion

We invite you to contribute to the WSL Extremes Research Program. Let's think together and help build a more resilient future for Switzerland under climate change. Contact us to be part of this vital conversation.

Want to stay updated on the latest news from the Extremes Program? Follow us on Bluesky!


Past Events


Contact


Steering Committee

Dr. Carolina Adler

Mountain Research Initiative
Executive Director
mri(at)mountainresearchinitiative.org
+41 31 631 51 41

Dr. Christoph Hegg

Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL
Deputy Director
christoph.hegg(at)wsl.ch
+41 44 739 2444

Prof. h.c. Dr. Anna Hersperger

Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL
Group Leader Land-Use Systems
anna.hersperger(at)wsl.ch
+41 44 739 2515

Dr. Paul Steffen

Bundesamt für Umwelt (BAFU)
Vizedirektor
eliane.ziati(at)bafu.admin.ch
+41 58 462 68 49

Prof. Dr. Niklaus Zimmermann

Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL
Group Leader Land Change ScienceDynamic Macroecology
niklaus.zimmermann(at)wsl.ch
+41 44 739 2337

 


Publications